Why Patrick Mahomes will win Super Bowl 58 MVP

Patrick Mahomes is poised to clinch his third Super Bowl MVP, building on an already illustrious career that includes two Super Bowl victories. At just 28, Mahomes has redefined success in the NFL, being the first player to reach four Super Bowls before turning 30, marking the Chiefs as the new dynasty post-Tom Brady’s departure from the New England Patriots.

In his pursuit of legendary status, Mahomes eyes another record held by Brady. A third MVP award would not only surpass the achievements of Bart Starr and Terry Bradshaw but also tie him with Joe Montana, leaving him just two shy of Brady’s five MVPs. While achieving two more Super Bowl appearances might seem challenging, Mahomes has proven himself by reaching the grand stage four times in just five seasons.

The quarterback’s candidacy for Super Bowl MVP is further strengthened by historical trends. Quarterbacks have claimed the MVP trophy 32 times in 57 Super Bowls, representing a dominant 71.1% success rate. In the past seven years, quarterbacks secured the award five times, emphasizing their pivotal role in the game’s outcome. This consistency aligns with Mahomes’ previous victories in Super Bowl 54 and Super Bowl 57.

Reflecting on Mahomes’ Super Bowl 54 performance, where he threw for 286 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions, and Super Bowl 57, marked by 182 passing yards and three touchdowns, it becomes evident that Mahomes’ ability to lead critical drives sets him apart. His resilience, as seen in the fourth quarter of both games, showcases his capacity to elevate his performance when it matters most.

Mahomes’ journey to a potential third MVP in Super Bowl 58 is also defined by his flawless performance in the 2023 NFL playoffs. Despite lacking their customary first-round bye, the Chiefs navigated the Wild Card round and showcased Mahomes’ prowess. Through three playoff games, Mahomes threw for 718 yards, four touchdowns, and rushed for an additional 75 yards without a single turnover. This impeccable performance, especially against formidable defenses like the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens, underscores Mahomes’ ability to thrive under pressure.

In summary, as the Chiefs vie for a second consecutive Super Bowl victory in Las Vegas, the likelihood of Mahomes securing a second consecutive MVP is high. His consistent excellence, historical context, and recent playoff brilliance position him as a frontrunner for the coveted award.